Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy
Topic
25.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 9
Pending: 19
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The expectation is that a new Fed chair nominated by Trump will be more aggressive with interest rate cuts.
"That new Fed chair is going to be much more aggressive with the interest rate cuts. At least that's ..."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% for 2026.
"The Federal Reserve projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time this year by 0...."
Jan 9, 2026
Pending
If Christopher Waller's proposed 1% interest rate cut is implemented, rates would fall to 2.75%.
"And that means that he would want to take it down to 2.75%."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
Kevin Hassett is predicted to lower interest rates more significantly than Christopher Waller.
"Hasset would be the candidate that would lower interest rates the most much more than Waller."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates inflation to cool and not be a problem in the coming months and going forward.
"Another thing is that the Federal Reserve is saying that they're confident that inflation is going t..."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
Jay Powell expects inflation elevated by tariffs in 2025 to improve in 2026.
"Powell says the tariff inflation is most likely to be, and I quote, a one-time price increase. So in..."
Dec 19, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% in 2026.
"the Federal Reserve gave their projections and they projected that they're only going to cut interes..."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
The consensus among Fed officials is for only 25 basis points of interest rate cuts in the upcoming year, which is considered slightly hawkish.
"the consensus view among Fed officials is that we'll only see 25 basis points of cuts next year. So ..."
Dec 15, 2025
Incorrect
A lower GDP is predicted to provide the Federal Reserve with more justification to aggressively cut interest rates and increase money supply.
"If GDP is lower, then that gives more reason for the Federal Reserve to blast the money printer on a..."
Nov 11, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is in a monetary easing cycle, having cut rates in September 2025 and anticipating at least two further cuts by the end of 2025.
"The Fed is now in a monetary easing cycle. They cut rates back in September and are expected to deli..."
Oct 23, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's median projection indicates two more 25 basis point rate cuts are expected before the end of 2025.
"The September dot plot was crystal clear. The median projection showed two more 25 basis point cuts ..."
Sep 18, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker predicts a 0.25% interest rate cut.
"I would expect them to cut interest rates by 0.25%."
Sep 5, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at their September 17th meeting.
"the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at their next meeting, which is going to take ..."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
Multiple interest rate cuts are anticipated within the next 3 to 6 months.
"over the next 3 to 6 months we could see multiple cuts coming in."
Sep 5, 2025
Incorrect
There was a 75% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their September 17th meeting.
"And right now, it shows that at their next meeting, which will happen September 17th, that there's a..."
Aug 23, 2025
Incorrect
Goldman Sachs suggests the Federal Reserve Bank may cut interest rates to stimulate the economy due to weak job market numbers.
"Goldman S is kind of hinting that maybe the Federal Reserve Bank is going to say, you know what, let..."
Aug 15, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to proceed slowly with interest rate cuts, balancing economic support and inflation control.
"So, Fed's going to have to go slow on cuts, balancing economic support with trying to keep inflation..."
May 5, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement fewer interest rate cuts going forward due to a strong economy.
"I will say that they have definitely lowered the temperature on how many rate cuts that will be goin..."
Mar 1, 2025
Correct
Cooling labor market data alongside resilient growth is expected to support the Federal Reserve's campaign of cutting interest rates.
"recent economic data showing that the labor market is cooling while growth remains resilient should ..."
Nov 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank will not aggressively cut interest rates due to a strong job market and better-than-expected inflation.
"now when you get numbers that the job market is stronger than expected and inflation is better than ..."
Oct 17, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is planning to lower interest rates.
"The Federal Reserve Bank is preparing to cut interest rates."
Sep 6, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve plans to start cutting interest rates when they anticipate moving towards 2% inflation.
"they want to start cutting interest rates when they think that we're heading towards 2% inflation"
Aug 16, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sooner than expected if market conditions deteriorate.
"well if markets continue to go down the Federal Reserve Bank might start inflating the markets they ..."
Aug 5, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank is planning to increase interest rates multiple times in 2025.
"they plan to raise interest rates multiple times in 2025"
Jun 17, 2024
Pending
Stated that the Federal Reserve was planning on three interest rate cuts in 2024.
"the Federal Reserve told us that they're planning on three interest rate Cuts this year"
Mar 28, 2024
Correct
The Federal Reserve's policy interest rate has likely reached its peak, and further increases are improbable.
"the policy rate is likely at its peak in other words we will likely not raise interest rates any fur..."
Feb 8, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut interest rates at their March meeting due to insufficient confidence in inflation's downward trajectory.
"I don't think it's likely that the committee will reach a level of confidence by the time of the Mar..."
Feb 8, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates lowering interest rates later in the year, but this is not yet certain.
"it will likely be appropriate to lower interest rates sometime later this year but warned that this ..."
Feb 8, 2024
Pending
Cutting interest rates during a strong economy is predicted to increase borrowing, stimulate the economy further, and potentially lead to more inflation.
"when you have such a strong economy and you start cutting interest rates what does that do that make..."
Jan 26, 2024
Pending
Strong economic reports are expected to pressure the Federal Reserve against lowering interest rates.
"if you continue to see these hot economic reports it puts more pressure on the Federal Reserve Bank ..."
Jan 26, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve Bank has indicated an intention to cut interest rates multiple times in 2024, though the exact number and timing are not yet defined.
"the Federal Reserve Bank has said that they are interested in cutting interest rates although they h..."
Jan 24, 2024
Pending